Prediction of Ignacio Buse vs Arthur Fery at BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm 10-11-25

• How do both players compare in recent second serve performance? Arthur Fery has a slight edge with a 47.36% win rate, outperforming Ignacio Buse's 45.33%.
• In return games, Ignacio Buse leads, capturing 44.36% of points on opponents' second serves, compared to Arthur Fery's 43.59%.
• On first serve returns, Ignacio Buse again surpasses Arthur Fery, winning 28.36% versus 26.10% of points.
• Who handles pressure better by saving breakpoints? Ignacio Buse excels with a save rate of 55.44%, while Arthur Fery saves 52.53%.
• In terms of match outcomes over the past year, Arthur Fery has won 79.49% of his matches, showing a stronger winning trend than Ignacio Buse at 61.76%.
• Both players excel differently on surfaces: Arthur Fery shines on Indoor Hard (71%), whereas Ignacio Buse excels on Clay (71%).
• At the Challenger/ITF tournaments > $10K level, Arthur Fery outperforms with a 76.92% win rate, compared to Ignacio Buse's 62.00%.
• Who faced tougher competition by rank recently? Ignacio Buse played against higher-ranked players, averaging a rank of 201.65, slightly more challenging than Arthur Fery's 218.15 average.
• If the match goes to a deciding set, Ignacio Buse is more likely to prevail, with a 61% win rate in these scenarios compared to Arthur Fery's 50%.

Editorial Prediction (October 11, 2025, UTC):

As we assess the recent statistics and individual strengths, Arthur Fery demonstrates a more dominant performance pattern overall, capturing nearly 80% of his matches in the last 12 months. This illustrates a strong recent form in comparison to Ignacio Buse.

Despite Ignacio Buse's superior return game and breakpoint resilience, his overall performance doesn't match Arthur Fery's formidable match-winning capability, especially in high-stakes settings.

While the deciding set statistics slightly favor Buse, Fery's experience in higher-tier matches, coupled with his strong performance on Indoor Hard surfaces, suggests he has the edge for this encounter.

In conclusion, based on current form and statistical evidence, Arthur Fery is favored to emerge victorious in the upcoming match against Ignacio Buse.